BOF
000
FXUS61 KCAR 090746
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
246 AM EST MON NOV 9 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH TODAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT
WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT THEN HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVER
THE REGION FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. 
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
A WEAK WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTH OF THE AREA TODAY WILL
BRING A MILD SOUTH SOUTHWESTERLY WIND ACROSS THE AREA. THE WIND
WILL MIX MILDER AIR ALOFT TO THE SURFACE ALLOWING TEMPS TO RISE
WELL INTO THE 50S ACROSS THE NORTH AND LOW 60S CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST
AREAS. WENT ABOVE GUIDANCE ON HIGHS TODAY...BUT CONSERVATIVELY AS
SOUTH WINDS AREN'T QUITE AS STRONG IN WARMING THE AIR AS A MORE
WESTERLY WIND IS. HIGH CLOUDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE NORTH THIS 
AFTERNOON AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES WHILE DOWNEAST AREAS STAY 
MOSTLY SUNNY. THE FRONT WILL COME THROUGH TONIGHT POSSIBLY BRINGING
A SPRINKLE TO SOME NORTHERN AREAS. OTHERWISE...TONIGHT WILL BE 
MOSTLY CLOUDY AND MILD WITH THE FRONT KEEPING THE AIR MIXED AND
LOWS ONLY AROUND 40. 
&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION, HIGH PRESSURE
CENTERED OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION ON
TUESDAY. RIGHT REAR QUADRANT OF THE JET CROSSES THE STATE AND RH
PROGS INDICATE PLENTY OF JET CIRRUS WITH THIS FEATURE, MAINLY OVER
CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST SECTIONS ON TUESDAY SO WILL KEEP AT LEAST
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES THERE. HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO RIDGE ACROSS
THE REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY. UPPER TROUGH CROSSES THE STATE EARLY
WEDNESDAY AND AS JET MOVES EAST OF THE AREA, EXPECT MORE SUNSHINE
ON WEDNESDAY. USED A BLEND OF THE MET AND MAV FOR TEMPERATURES.
&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHEAST FOR THE END OF THE WEEK
WITH FAIR WEATHER, MODELS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH REMAINS
OF IDA TO MOVE OFF THE CAROLINA COAST LATE THIS WEEK. GMOS ONLY
GUIDANCE PROVIDING CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE POPS ACROSS DOWNEAST
SECTIONS WITH IDA, WHERE ALL THE OTHER MODELS KEEP HIGH PRESSURE
CENTERED OVER NEW ENGLAND WITH POPS AND CLOUDS WELL SOUTH OF THE AREA.
WILL LEAN WITH OTHER MODELS RATHER THAN THE GMOS AND KEEP POPS LOW. 
&&

.AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
AN SCA WILL BE POSTED FOR WIND GUSTS UP TO 25 KT AND SEAS BUILDING
UP TO 6 FT IN RESPONSE TO SOUTH SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING COLD FRONT TODAY INTO THIS EVENING.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST 
     TUESDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...FOSTER
LONG TERM...FOSTER
AVIATION...BLOOMER
MARINE...BLOOMER/FOSTER






EOF